Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Title: Forecasting technological progress
Abstract: After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking over the last decade developing time series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.
Author-Name: Lafond, François
File-URL: https://oms-inet.files.svdcdn.com/production/files/Forecasting_Technological_Progress_V2_WP_Dec_25.pdf?dm=1765978650
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: 
Keywords: Performance curves, Experience curves, Diffusion curves, Patent networks
Length: 35 pages
Creation-Date: 2025-03
Revision-Date: 2025-12
Handle: RePEc:amz:wpaper:2025-10